Article

The alveolar-arterial gradient, pneumonia severity scores and inflammatory markers to predict 30-day mortality in pneumonia

a b s t r a c t

Objective: The objective of this study was to evaluate the association of elevated alveolar-arterial oxygen (A-a O2) gradient with risk of mortality in hospitalized patients with Community-acquired pneumonia .

Methods: This prospective study included 206 patients diagnosed with CAP admitted to the ED. Demographics, comorbidities, arterial blood gas, Serum electrolytes, liver-renal functions, complete blood count, NLR, PLR, CRP, CAR, procalcitonin, A-a O2 gradient, expected A-a O2 and A-a O2 difference were evaluated. PSI and CURB- 65 scores were classified as follow: a) PSI low risk (I-III) and moderate-high risk (IV-V) groups; b) CURB-65; low risk (0-2) and high risk (3-5) groups.

Results: The survival rates of the PSI class (I-III) were significantly higher than the ones of the PSI class (IV-V) (92.1% vs. 62.9%, respectively). The percentage of survivors of the CURB-65 score (0-2) group (81.9%) was higher than the survivors of CURB-65 score (3-5) group (27.8%). Creatinine, BUN, Uric acid, phosphorus, RDW, CRP, CAR, procalcitonin, lactate, A-a 02 gradient, expected A-a 02 and A-a 02 difference were significantly higher and baso- phil was lower in non-survivors. A-a O2 gradient (AUC 0.78), A-a O2 difference (AUC 0.74) and albumin (AUC 0.80) showed highest 30-day Mortality prediction. NLR (AUC 0.58) and PLR (AUC 0.55) showed lowest 30-day mortality estimation. Procalcitonin (AUC 0.65), PSI class (AUC 0.81) and PSI score (AUC 0.86) indicated statisti- cally significant higher 30-day mortality prediction.

Conclusion: A-a O2 gradient, A-a O2 difference and albumin are potent predictors of 30-day mortality in CAP pa-

tients in the ED.

(C) 2020

Introduction

community-acquired pneumonia is one of the major reasons of mortality caused by infection with a rate of approximately 20-30% in Developing countries and 3-4% in developed countries [1,2]. The inci- dence and mortality rate of this respiratory infection increases with age [3]. Approximately one-third of CAP cases are inpatient and the mortality rate is up to 50-55% for those patients who require intensive care unit admission. The incidence of pneumonia is 1.15% and this infectious disease is ranked 15th in all acute and chronic diseases in Turkey [3]. It is estimated that 75% of CAP cases present to emergency departments (EDs). Prediction of mortality and outcomes in patients with CAP is important for early intervention, hospitalization, ICU admis- sion, optimal antibiotic treatment and discharge from EDs [2]. The diag- nosis, treatment, prognosis and mortality data of CAP can vary depending on population structure of country, experience of physicians,

* Corresponding author at: Amasya University Sabuncuoglu Serefeddin Research and Training Hospital, 05100 Amasya, Turkey.

E-mail address: [email protected] (S. Avci).

resources and location of hospital, complementary tests, and social- sanitisation qualifications.

Several algorithms based upon clinical findings and laboratory re-

sults including CURB-65, pneumonia severity index \(PSI\) and well- known inflammatory markers such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio , Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio , c-reactive protein (CRP)/al- bumin ratio (CAR) and procalcitonin have been used to predict severity, outcomes and short-long term mortality of patients with CAP [4-7]. In addition to these scores and inflammatory markers, the alveolar- arterial oxygen (Aa-O2) gradient, which is a measure of difference be- tween the alveolar and arterial concentration of oxygen, has also been used to evaluate the outcomes of the patients with CAP [8,9]. While ven- tilation continues in patients with pneumonia, the physical barrier in the alveoli restricts oxygen diffusion to capillaries and causes low oxy- gen levels in the blood, resulting in increased A-a O2 gradient [8,9].

The aims of the study were to compare the A-a O2 gradient (together with expected A-a O2 gradient, A-a O2 gradient difference), pneumonia severity scoring systems (PSI, CURB-65), inflammatory markers (CRP, CAR, procalcitonin, NLR and PLR) in predicting CAP patients’ outcomes (30-day mortality, ICU admission) in the ED. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association of elevated A-a O2 gradient with

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajem.2020.05.048

0735-6757/(C) 2020

risk of mortality in hospitalized patients with CAP. A similar previous study reported that A-a O2 gradient can predict the outcomes of the pa- tients with CAP (length of stay, severity of the disease) [9].

Methods

Study design and population

This prospective cross-sectional study was conducted with approval of Kafkas University Medical Faculty Ethics Committee between No- vember 2018 and March 2019. The study included 206 patients (78 fe- males, 128 males) diagnosed with CAP admitted to the ED.

Patients aged 18 years or more, admitted to ED from the community, presenting with any new opacity on chest x-ray in accordance with the diagnosis of acute pneumonia including two or more clinical signs and symptoms associated with pneumonia (cough, dyspnea, chest pain, crackles on auscultation and temperature N 38 ?C) were enrolled in the study. The exclusion criteria were as follows: patients with human immundefiency virus infection, active pulmonary tuberculosis, cystic fi- brosis, receiving routine hemodialysis, homeless people, history of nurs- ing at home or hospitalization longer than 24 h in the last 90 days, history of chemotherapy or radiotheraphy in the last 30 days, admission to the hospital or using any antibiotic in the last two weeks. Verbal and written consent were obtained from all patients.

Data collection

A questionnaire was designed for each patient, including demo- graphic profile, comorbidities, physicial examination, laboratory results and radiological findings. At admission to ED, the scores of PSI and CURB-65 were calculated and classified as follow: 1) PSI low risk group (classes I-III, total point value <=90); and PSI moderate-High risk group (class IV-V total point value 91<=); 2) CURB-65; low risk group (scores 0-2) and high risk group (scores 3-5) [10].

The laboratory findings were analyzed within 3 h after admission to ED including arterial blood gas analysis, serum electrolytes, liver and kidney function tests, complete blood count, NLR, PLR, CRP, CAR, and procalcitonin.

Arterial blood gas samples were drawn from the Radial artery in all patients while they were breathing room air to prevent any interven- tion caused by the maintenance of supplementary oxygen. atmospheric pressure (mmHg), partial oxygen pressure (PaO2, mmHg), fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2, 21% for room air), partial carbon dioxide pressure (PaCO2, mmHg) and age (for expected A-a O2 gradient) were recorded for all patients and calculated with https://www.mdcalc.com/a-a-o2- gradient [11]. After calculation process, the A-a O2 gradient and ex- pected A-a O2 gradient for age were obtained. A-a O2 difference was cal- culated as A-a O2 gradient-expected A-a O2 gradient. Daily atmospheric pressure (mmHg) changes of the region where the study was carried out were obtained from the Turkish State Meteorological Service. After one-month follow up, ICU admission and 30-day mortality after ED ad- mission were evaluated.

Statistical reviews

All statistical calculations were performed with SPSS 23.0 (SPSS for Windows, Chicago, IL, SA). The continuous variables were expressed as mean +- standard deviation; categoric variables were defined as per- centages (%). The categorical parameters were compared with Chi- square test and Fischer’s exact test. The normal distribution was deter- mined by histogram and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Mean values of con- tinuous variables were compared between the groups using Mann- Whitney U test. Student’s t-test was used in the comparison of parame- ters showing normal distribution. prediction accuracy was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

The results were evaluated as 95% confidence interval and p value

b0.05, which was considered statistically significant.

Results

Table 1 lists demographics, comorbidities and clinical characteristics of the cases. Accordingly, 128 (62.1%) of the cases were male and 78 (37.9%) were female. Their ages ranged from 19 to 95 years, with an av- erage of 68.34 +- 16.52. 34 (16.5%) of the cases were current smoker, 83 (40.3%) were non-smoker and 89 (43.2%) were ex-smoker. The fre- quency of comorbidities seen among the patients were: Hypertension (44.7%), diabetes mellitus (15.0%), coronary artery disease (8.7%),

COPD (66.5%), asthma (4.9%), neoplastic disease (5.3%), Chronic liver disease (1.9%), congestive heart failure (14.6%), cerebrovascular dis- eases (3.9%) and chronic renal diseases (6.3%). 0.5% of the cases were nursing home resident. Confusion was present in 17 cases (8.3%) and pleural effusion was present in 26 cases (12.6%). The respiratory rate of the patients ranged between 15 and 36 per minute with an average of 20.94 +- 3.45. The systolic blood pressure of cases varied between 66 and 180 mmHg, with an average of 117.13 +- 14.24. The fever of the cases ranged from 35 to 38.7 ?C, with an average of 36.55 +- 0.38. The heart rate of the cases varied between 12 and 150 per minute, with an average of 90.96 +- 14.45. ICU admission rate was 8.7%, and the overall 30-day mortality rate was 22.8%.

Table 2 lists 30-day mortality and ICU admission rates according to the PSI classes and CURB-65 score groups. Accordingly, there was a sta- tistically significant difference between 30-day mortality and ICU ad- mission between scoring groups (p value b0.01). The survival rates of the PSI class (I-III) were significantly higher than the ones of the PSI class (IV-V) (92.1% vs. 62.9%, respectively). The PSI class’ (I-III) ICU ad- mission rates (2.0%) were significantly lower than the PSI class’ (IV-V) ICU admission rates (15.2%). The percentage of survivors of the CURB- 65 score (0-2) group (81.9%) was higher than the survivors of CURB- 65 score (3-5) group (27.8%). The ICU admission rates (3.7%) of the

Table 1

Demographic properties, comorbidities and clinical findings of the patients

CAP patients (n = 206)

No. %

Gender

Male

128

62.1

Female

78

37.9

Smoking status

Current smoker

34

16.5

Non-smoker

83

40.3

Ex-smoker

89

43.2

Hypertension

92

44.7

Diabetes mellitus

31

15.0

Coronary artery disease

18

8.7

COPD

137

66.5

Asthma

10

4.9

Nursing home resident

1

0.5

Neoplastic disease

11

5.3

Chronic liver diseases

4

1.9

Congestive heart failure

30

14.6

cerebrovascular diseases

8

3.9

Chronic renal diseases

13

6.3

Confusion

17

8.3

Pleural effusion

26

12.6

ICU admission

18

8.7

30-day mortality

Min-Max

47

Mean

22.8

SD

Respiratory rate (min)

15-36

20.94

3.45

Systolic blood pressure (mmHg)

66-180

117.13

14.24

Fever (?C)

35-38,7

36.55

0.38

Heart rate (min)

12-150

90.96

14.45

Age (years)

19-95

68.34

16.52

CAP, community acquired pneumonia; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; min-max; minimum and maximum values.

Table 2

30-day mortality and ICU admission rates of PSI class and CURB-65 score groups.

PSI class

I-III IV-V P

No. (%) No. (%)

30-day mortality

Survivors

Non-survivors

93 (92.1%)

8 (7.9%)

66 (62.9%)

39 (37.1%)

.000**

ICU admission

2 (2.0%)

16 (15.2%)

.001**

CURB-65 score

0-2

3-5

No. (%)

No. (%)

30-day mortality

Survivors

Non-survivors

154 (81.9%)

34 (18.1%)

5 (27.8%)

13 (72.2%)

.000**

ICU admission

7 (3.7%)

11 (61.1%)

.000**

CURB-65 score (0-2) group were significantly lower than the ICU ad- mission rates (61.1%) of the CURB-65 score (3-5) group.

Independent sample t-test analysis of A-a 02 gradient and A-a 02 dif- ference averages between PSI class and CURB-65 score groups did not reveal a statistical significance (p value N0.005).

Table 3 lists the independent sample t-test analysis results of the mean values of calcium, hematocrit, mean platelet volume, platelet, PaO2 and albumin were given. Calcium, PaO2 and albumin were signifi- cantly lower in non-survivors (p b 0.001).

Table 4 lists analysis of Blood parameters with Mann Whitney U test between survivors and non-survivors. Creatinine, Blood urea nitrogen , uric acid, phosphor, red cell distribution width (RDW), CRP, CAR, procalcitonin, lactate, A-a 02 gradient, expected A-a 02 gradient and A-a 02 difference were significantly higher (p b 0.05) and basophil count was lower in non-survivors (p = 0.013).

Table 5 and Fig. 1 demonstrate the accuracy of A-a O2 gradient, A-a O2 difference, albumin, CAR, CRP and CURB-65 in predicting 30-day mortality. A-a O2 gradient (AUC 0.78, 95% Cl: 0.72-0.84), A-a O2 differ- ence (AUC 0.74, 95% CI: 0.68-0.74) and albumin (AUC 0.80, 95% CI:

0.74-0.85) showed highest 30-day mortality prediction. CAR (AUC 0.69, 95% CI: 0.62-0.75), CRP (AUC 0.64, 95% CI: 0.57-0.71) and CURB-

65 (AUC 0.76, 95% CI: 0.70-0.82) indicated statistically significant lower 30-day mortality prediction.

Table 6 and Fig. 2 depict the accuracy of NLR, PLR, procalcitonin, PSI class and PSI scores in predicting 30-day mortality. NLR (AUC 0.58, 95% CI: 0.50-0.65) and PLR (AUC 0.55, 95% CI: 0.47-0.62) showed lowest 30-

day mortality estimation. Procalcitonin (AUC 0.65, 95% CI: 0.58-0.72),

PSI class (AUC 0.81, 95% CI: 0.75-0.87) and PSI score (AUC 0.86, 95%

CI: 0.80-0.91) indicated statistically significant higher 30-day mortality prediction.

Discussion

Estimating mortality in patients with CAP in the ED is important for patient

Table 3

Comparison of the mean values of calcium, hematocrit, mean platelet volume, platelet, PaO2 and albumin survivors and non-survivors

30-day mortality

Survivors Non-survivors P

Mean +- SD Mean +- SD

Calcium

8.82 +- 0.61

8.28 +- 0.63

.000**

Hematocrit

43.6 +- 7.45

41.83 +- 7.22

.153

Mean platelet volume

9.68 +- 1.15

9.75 +- 1.36

.707

Platelet

254.96 +- 90.08

242.49 +- 110.07

.430

PaO2

56.25 +- 9.07

46.65 +- 8.64

.000**

Albumin

37.58 +- 5.51

31.21 +- 6.91

.000**

management. This study sought to evaluate the A-a O2 gradient in predicting mortality

compared to PSI, CURB-65 and various inflammatory markers. In the study, the 30-day mortality rate and ICU admission rate were 22.8% and 8.7%, respectively. Our results including mortality and ICU admission were higher compared to similar studies [10,12-14]. Advanced age, in- creased number of comorbidities and late admission to the ED may lead to these poor results.

PSI and CURB-65 are verified and frequently used clinical scoring systems for prediction of prognosis and mortality of patients with pneu- monia [12]. Increment value of scores may indicate poor prognosis, in- creased severity and risk of mortality [14]. In our study, PSI class (IV- V) and CURB-65 score (3-5) were associated with higher ICU admission rates and 30-day mortality (p-value b0.01). These expected findings were similar and consistent with several earlier studies [10,12,15]. Higher age (mean +- sd 65 yearsb), male gender (61.1% of all), increased number of comorbidities, impaired vital signs and clinical findings, which are the components of these scores (PSI and CURB-65) that are easily used in the ED, may predict poor prognosis in patients with pneumonia.

In the study, lower albumin, calcium and PaO2 levels on admisson were related to increased 30-day mortality among CAP cases (p b 0.001). Hypoalbuminemia is an inevitable result of capillary leakage that caused by impaired endothelial permeability due to excessive re- lease of pro-inflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokines (secreted proteins and signal molecules) including interleukin (IL)-1, IL-2, IL-6, IL-10, interferon gamma and tumor necrosis factor-alpha during inflam- matory reaction in critically ill patients such as CAP [16]. Moreover, al- bumin is the main serum protein that binds approximately 40% of calcium in the human body circulation, which is responsible for cardiac contraction, coagulation cascade and platelet activation [17]. In acute Serious diseases such as pneumonia, the decrease of circulating albumin called hypoalbuminemia, an acute phase reactant, can predict poor out- comes including morbidity, ICU admission, mortality and cause lower calcium level [16-18]. A second cause of mortality in critically ill patients with CAP is hypoxemia, in which arterial Blood oxygen saturation mea- sured by Pulse oximeter is b90% or PaO2 is b60 mmHg [19]. Alveolar congestion triggered by inflammatory reaction, prominent intrapulmonary shunting, enlarged dead space and ventilation/perfu- sion mismatch may result in disrupted Gas exchange and lower PaO2 [19].

Non-survivors had higher creatinine, BUN, uric acid, phosphorus, RDW, procalcitonin, CRP, CAR, and lactate (p b 0.005). impaired renal function may contribute to infections such as pneumonia with mecha- nisms delineated by uremia-related damaged monocyte, T/B lympho- cytes, neutrophil phagocytosis and increment of cytokines, as well as increased risk of Cardiovascular complications [20]. Higher serum level of uric acid, a product of purine destruction and excreted in the urine, is associated with impaired renal function, hypertension, atherosclero- sis and Vascular abnormalities [21]. Hyperphosphatemia triggered by chronic renal failure cause calcification of vascular media layer and car- diac valves, stimulation of cardiomyocyte hypertrophy and inhibition of nitric oxide synthase [22]. In addition, RDW is a routine laboratory test used to evaluate size, form and degree of heterogeneity of erythrocyte volume that predicts prognosis of thrombotic and cardiovascular events, and it has been associated with increased mortality of patients with CAP [23]. Increased procalcitonin, CRP and CAR are inflammatory biomarkers that have been extensively studied for use in the diagnosis and prognostication of pneumonia [5,6,24]. An increase of these markers may indicate severe pneumonia and even bacteremia. In- creased lactate, which measures Severity of disease and perfusion sta- tus, particularly in septic patients, indicates higher mortality and the need for vasopressors, mechanical ventilation and ICU admission [25].

This study suggests that A-a O2 gradient, A-a O2 expected and A-a O2 difference are higher in non-survivors. A-a O2 gradient (AUC 0.78), A-a O2 difference (AUC 0.74) and albumin (AUC 0.80) showed highest 30-

Table 4

Blood parameters of survivors and

non-survivors.

Groups

n

Mean rank

Sum of rank

U

z

P

Creatinine

Non-survivors

47

127.77

6005.00

2596.000

-3.177

.001**

Survivors

159

96.33

15,316.00

Sodium

Non-survivors

47

102.45

4815.00

3687.000

-0.138

.890

Survivors

159

103.81

16,506.00

Glucose

Non-survivors

47

108.09

5080.00

3521.000

-0.600

.548

Survivors

159

102.14

16,241.00

Aspartate aminotransferase

Non-survivors

47

116.83

5491.00

3110.000

-1.746

.081

Survivors

159

99.56

15,830.00

Alanine aminotransferase

Non-survivors

47

109.21

5133.00

3468.000

-0.748

.454

Survivors

159

101.81

16,188.00

Uric acid

Non-survivors

47

116.38

5470.00

3131.000

-1.687

.092

Survivors

159

99.69

15,851.00

Magnesium

Non-survivors

47

97.53

4584.00

3456.000

-0.782

.434

Survivors

159

105.26

16,737.00

Phospor

Non-survivors

47

126.63

5951.50

2649.500

-3.028

.002**

Survivors

159

96.66

15,369.50

Lymphocyte

Non-survivors

47

94.18

4426.50

3298.500

-1.220

.222

Survivors

159

106.25

16,894.50

Plateletcrit

Non-survivors

47

96.60

4540.00

3412.000

-0.904

.366

Survivors

159

105.54

16,781.00

RDW

Non-survivors

47

130.45

6131.00

2470.000

-3.528

.000**

Survivors

159

95.53

15,190.00

Basophil

Non-survivors

47

85.03

3996.50

2868.500

-2.484

.013*

Survivors

159

108.96

17,324.50

Eosinophil

Non-survivors

47

99.34

4669.00

3541.000

-0.548

.584

Survivors

159

104.73

16,652.00

Neutrophil

Non-survivors

47

111.29

5230.50

3370.500

-1.019

.308

Survivors

159

101.20

16,090.50

Monocyte

Non-survivors

47

101.82

4785.50

3657.500

-0.155

.876

Survivors

158

103.35

16,329.50

Lactate

Non-survivors

46

133.34

6133.50

2215.500

-4.029

.000**

Survivors

158

93.52

14,776.50

Blood urea nitrogen

Non-survivors

47

143.61

6749.50

1851.500

-5.251

.000**

Survivors

159

91.64

14,571.50

C-reactive protein

Non-survivors

47

126.32

5937.00

2664.000

-2.987

.003**

Survivors

159

96.75

15,384.00

CAR

Non-survivors

47

133.59

6278.50

2322.500

-3.938

.000**

Survivors

159

94.61

15,042.50

NLR

Non-survivors

47

113.50

5334.50

3266.500

-1.309

.190

Survivors

159

100.54

15,986.50

PLR

Non-survivors

47

106.74

5017.00

3584.000

-0.425

.671

Survivors

159

102.54

16,304.00

Procalcitonin

Non-survivors

35

111.73

3910.50

1759.500

-2.766

.006**

Survivors

144

84.72

12,199.50

A-a 02 gradient

Non-survivors

47

148.64

6986.00

1615.000

-5.909

.000**

Survivors

159

90.16

14,335.00

Expected A-a 02

Non-survivors

47

128.03

6017.50

2583.500

-3.213

.001**

Survivors

159

96.25

15,303.50

A-a 02 difference

Non-survivors

47

141.22

6637.50

1963.500

-4.938

.000**

Survivors

159

92.35

14,683.50

day mortality prediction. A-a O2 gradient, A-a O2 difference and albumin were better than CAR, CRP and CURB-65 in predicting 30-day mortality of CAP patients. These results indicate that A-a O2 gradient, A-a O2 dif- ference and albumin are strong predictors of 30-day mortality in pa- tients with CAP admitted to ED. Albumin is a well-known marker predicting mortality in patients [16,18], and A-a O2 gradient and A-a O2 difference can also be used to estimate mortality.

Table 5

Investigation of measurements effective in estimating mortality

AUC

SE

95% CI

A-a O2 gradient

0.784

0.0408

0.721 to 0.838

A-a O2 difference

0.737

0.0468

0.672 to 0.796

Albumin

0.802

0.0384

0.741 to 0.854

CAR

0.689

0.0466

0.621 to 0.752

CRP

0.644

0.0476

0.574 to 0.709

CURB-65

0.761

0.0370

0.697 to 0.817

Studies have reported that A-a O2 gradient, which is used to measure the etiology and oxygenation of hypoxemia assessing the functionality of the blood-air barrier within the alveoli, predicts length of stay and survival in hospitalized patients with pneumonia [9,26]. To estimate 30-day mortality, increased A-a O2 gradient and A-a O2 difference in pa- tients with CAP in the ED may be useful for physicians.

Lastly, NLR (AUC 0.58) and PLR (AUC 0.55) demonstrated lowest mortality estimation in this study. Procalcitonin, PSI class and PSI score were better than NLR and PLR in predicting 30-day mortality of CAP patients. In recent studies, NLR and PLR have been reported as novel cost-effective inflammatory markers that can be easily obtained from complete blood count, and can predict prognosis and mortality in various clinical conditions including CAP [4,27-29]. In the study, NLR and PLR were less predictive of 30-day mortality compared to an inflammatory marker such as procalcitonin and a clinical scoring such as PSI.

This single-centre study had some limitations. To begin with, the size of the patient population was relatively small and we did not determine

Fig. 1. The ROC curves for prediction of 30-day mortality for A-a O2 gradient, A-a O2 difference, albumin, CAR, CRP and CURB-65.

Table 6

Investigation of measurements effective in estimating mortality

AUC

SE

95% CI

NLR

0.577

0.0552

0.501 to 0.650

PLR

0.545

0.0543

0.469 to 0.619

Procalcitonin

0.652

0.0457

0.577 to 0.721

PSI class

0.811

0.0401

0.746 to 0.866

PSI score

0.861

0.0380

0.801 to 0.908

accurate etiology of microorganisms causing to community-acquired pneumonia. Moreover, detailed effect of comorbidities to 30-day mor- tality was unknown. During the one-month follow-up period after the emergency department, only the 30-day mortality was recorded and the management of the treatment was not evaluated. In addition, an ar- terial blood gas sample may cause hemorrhage, local hematoma, aneu- rysm, air or Thrombus embolism, local infection, arteriovenous laceration, needle stick injuries and severe pain [30,31].

Conclusion

A-a O2 gradient, A-a O2 difference and albumin are potent predictors of 30-day mortality in CAP patients in the ED. In addition, A-a O2 gradi- ent and A-a O2 difference are simple, precise, and practical measure- ments for estimating 30-day mortality in these patients, better than procalcitonin, PSI score, NLR and PLR.

Financial support

None declared.

CRediT authorship contribution statement Sema Avci:Conceptualization, Data curation, Writing - original draft.

Gokhan Perincek:Data curation, Formal analysis.

Declaration of competing interest

None declared.

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