Impact of temporary closures of emergency departments during the COVID-19 outbreak on clinical outcomes for emergency patients in a metropolitan area
a b s t r a c t
Background: During the early phase of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak, many emergency de- partments (EDs) were exposed to COVID-19 and were temporarily closed according to national protocol of Korea. We aimed to evaluate the effect of concurrent and recurrent temporary closures of EDs on the clinical outcomes of patients who visited EDs during the Covid-19 outbreak.
Methods: This cross-sectional study used a nationwide emergency patient database. Patients who visited one of the 46 EDs in Daegu and Gyeongbuk between January 21 and April 14, 2020 were included. The main exposure variable was the first medical contact (ED visit or 119 call to emergency medical services (EMS)) during closure of at least one ED. There were 25 temporary closures of six Level-1 and Level-2 EDs between February 18 and March 17, 2020. We constructed a dataset by performing bidirectional crossover matching and conducted a con- ditional logistic regression analysis where the primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.
Results: Of the 94,360 eligible study participants, 36,327 were classified into the non-EMS-use group and 10,116 were classified into the EMS-use group. in-hospital mortality rates were 2.0% and 1.6% for the temporary-closure and no-closure groups in the non-EMS-use group (p-value, 0.03) and 8.7% and 7.4% in the EMS-use group (p-value, 0.02), respectively. In the conditional logistic analysis for in-hospital mortality, the odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of the temporary-closure group compared the no-closure group were 1.22 (1.03-1.44) among the non-EMS-use group and 1.23 (1.04-1.46) among the EMS-use group.
Conclusion: The temporary closures of EDs due to the unpredicted COVID-19 exposure resulted in an increase in emergency patients’ in-hospital mortality rates irrespective of whether they used EMS. Preparing regional EMS systems to cope with new outbreaks is essential to protect the safety of all citizens.
(C) 2021
The first coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) case was confirmed in Wuhan in December 2019 [1], marking the beginning of a global pan- demic that has resulted in approximately 72.2 million cases and 1.63 million deaths across 220 countries in 2020 [2]. This occurrence has proven a great burden on public healthcare systems in many countries. It has also affected trends in medical use and clinical outcomes of
* Corresponding author at: Department of Emergency Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-Ro, Jongno-Gu, Seoul 03080, Republic of Korea.
E-mail addresses: [email protected] (D.E. Lee), [email protected] (Y.S. Ro), [email protected] (H.W. Ryoo), [email protected] (S. Moon).
patients with Acute conditions, as well as chronic diseases such as cardio-cerebrovascular diseases [3-5].
During the early phase of the COVID-19 outbreak, emergency de- partments (EDs) were not prepared to accommodate patients with the new communicable disease, but were exposed to the virus by pa- tients who had mild symptoms and were not initially identified as hav- ing the virus. As a result, many EDs were temporarily shut down in accordance with the MERS (Middle East Respiratory Syndrome) re- sponse guidelines that were temporarily used to respond to the out- break at the time. The MERS response guidelines are intended to sterilize air and environmental contaminations and to prevent the transmission of virus to other emergency patients and Healthcare workers [6].
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajem.2021.03.038
0735-6757/(C) 2021
Since February 18, 2020, the number of confirmed COVID-19 pa- tients in the Daegu metropolitan area of Korea increased rapidly be- cause of a cluster infection among a religious group called “Shincheonji” [7,8]. During that period, COVID-19 patients with atypical symptoms visited the local ED, but since they were not suspected of having the virus, they were not isolated during initial triage. On Febru- ary 18, the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) de- cided to close the exposed ED based on the protocol of epidemiologic surveillance and isolation. Following this, many EDs were repeatedly closed for short periods of time as the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases increased, and medical staff and other patients in the ED were quarantined [6,8]. Other EDs in the community that remained open had to cope with a surge in the number of emergency patients and pre- pare for visits from patients with latent COVID-19 infection.
Consecutive and concurrent shutdowns of multiple EDs can affect the regional emergency medical services (EMS) system and change the health behavior of emergency care access for patients with Critical illnesses or intensive care needs, which can lead to changes in clinical outcomes [9,10]. Previous studies have demonstrated the effects of clo- sure or downgrades of regional EDs, as well as trauma centers, on the long-term outcomes for patients with time-sensitive illnesses, such as acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and severe trauma [10-13]. However, there have been no reports on the impact of concurrent short-term ED closures in pandemic or disaster situations on the clinical outcomes of emergency patients.
We hypothesized that the concurrent and recurrent closures of EDs during the COVID-19 outbreak will delay access to appropriate care and worsen the clinical outcomes of emergency patients in the commu- nity. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of concurrent and recurrent temporary closures of EDs on the clinical outcomes of patients who vis- ited EDs in Daegu metropolitan city and Gyeongsangbuk-do province during the COVID-19 outbreak.
This cross-sectional study used a nationwide emergency patient da- tabase for its analysis. The Daegu metropolitan area consists of a densely populated urban core (Daegu metropolitan city, hereafter Daegu) and less-populated surrounding territories (Gyeongsangbuk-do, hereafter Gyeongbuk). The province has a population of 5.1 million people and an area of 19,914 km2 with 46 EDs, which are categorized into three levels based on the level of care available, emergency medical resources, and capacity (facilities, equipment, medical staff, etc.). A total of 15 Level-1 (n = 5) and Level-2 (n = 10) EDs (six in Daegu and nine in Gyeongbuk) provide the highest level of emergency care services in the region [14].
The EMS system in Korea is a government-based public system oper- ated by the National Fire Agency. There are a total of 28 fire stations (EMS centers) with approximately 149 ambulance stations in Daegu and Gyeongbuk [15].
The first case of COVID-19 was detected in Daegu and Gyeongbuk on February 18, 2020. By April 15, there were 8171 confirmed cases, ac- counting for 77.2% of all cases in Korea [7]. COVID-19 was diagnosed based on the World Health Organization’s (WHO) interim guidance and the Korean CDC’s guidelines.
-
- Study population
Patients who visited any of the 46 EDs in Daegu and Gyeongbuk be- tween January 21 and April 14, 2020, were included in this study. How- ever, patients who had insufficient information on EDs and hospital disposition or length of stay (LOS) were excluded from the analysis.
-
- Outcome measures
The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The secondary out- comes were intensive care unit admission and LOS in an ED. For emergency patients who used EMS, the tertiary outcome was prehospital time, which was defined as the time from the EMS call to the time that the ambulance arrived at the ED.
-
- Data source and variables
Data were gathered from the EMS run-sheets and the National Emergency Department Information System (NEDIS) database.
The NEDIS, which was established in 2003, is operated by the Na- tional emergency medical center and collects clinical information from all the patients who visit EDs across the country. All patient- related information is automatically transferred from each hospital to a central government server within the setting period of the patient’s discharge from an ED or hospital ward [16].
The following information was used for analysis: age, gender, date and time of ED visit, reason for ED visit (medical illness or injury), initial vital sign and mental status at ED presentation, initial triage, route of ED visits (direct visit or transferred), diagnosis based on the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 code, and dispositions of the ED and hospital. For patients who used EMS, prehospital time variables such as the response time interval, scene time interval, and transport time interval were also used for analysis.
-
- Exposure of interest and matched dataset
The main exposure of interest in this study is the first medical con- tact during closure of at least one ED in the community. According to the data from the Korean CDC and the Fire Department, there were 25 temporary closures of two Level-1 EDs and four Level-2 EDs in Daegu and Gyeongbuk between February 18 and March 17, 2020 (Fig. 1). These six EDs cared for approximately 247,000 patients annually, of which 72.6% of patients were from Daegu and 20.0% from Gyeongbuk [16]. The median duration of the 25 closures for Level-1 and -2 EDs was 17.5 h.
To evaluate the effect of concurrent and recurrent temporary clo- sures of EDs on the clinical outcomes of patients who visited the EDs, we constructed a dataset by performing bidirectional crossover matching to adjust for both known and unknown time-invariant con- founders [17,18]. This may reduce the possibility of within-person time-invariant confounding; it also avoids selection biases [17]. The bi- directional symmetric design selects two matched days from equal dis- tances before and after the event, providing adequate control for trends and seasonality [18-20]. Since the main exposure variable of this study is time-dependent and the characteristics of the study population are dependent on time and place, 1:2 bidirectional crossover matching was performed to reduce related confounding.
The study population was classified into two groups according to the use of EMS as a means of ED visits: the non-EMS-use and EMS-use groups. Based on the time of the first medical contact, the groups were divided into exposure groups (temporary-closure groups) and non-exposure groups depending on whether there was closure of at least one ED at the time. To adjust for potential confounding by day of the week and seasonality, we selected the matched non-exposure group (no-closure group) on the matching days before and after 4 weeks of the first medical contact for each temporary-closure group. Matching variables included age, gender, time of ED visit (8 AM-4 PM, 4 PM-MN, and MN-8 AM), region of ED (Daegu and Gyeongbuk), level of ED (level 1, 2, and 3), and initial triage (severe and non- severe). A 4-week interval was provided to eliminate the possibility of selecting duplicates in the exposure and non-exposure groups, and all members of the no-closure group were selected from days without ED closures.
Fig. 1. Emergency department closures in Daegu and Gyeongbuk. Level-1 EDs: A & B; Level-2 EDs: C, D, E, & F.
For the non-EMS-use group, based on the time of ED visit (first medical contact), patients who were admitted into an ED in the community during the period of at least one ED closure (between February 18 and March 17) were classified into the temporary- closure group. For the EMS-use group, patients called to the dis- patch center (first medical contact) during the period of closure of one or more EDs from February 18 to March 17 were classified into the temporary-closure group. We selected the no-closure group based on matching days before and after 4 weeks of the first medical contact in each of the non-EMS-use and EMS-use groups.
-
- Statistical analysis
Descriptive statistics are presented as medians with interquartile ranges (interquartile range: 25th and 75th percentiles) or a mean with standard deviation, while categorical variables are presented as counts and percentages. The significance of the differences between the exposure and non-exposure groups was tested using a t-test for con- tinuous variables, while the chi-square test was used for categorical variables.
For the matched dataset, a conditional logistic regression analy- sis was conducted to estimate the effect of ED closures on the
Fig. 2. Patient flow diagram. EMS: emergency medical services.
clinical outcomes of emergency patients in the community and to calculate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). For the study outcomes of continuous variables, multivariable gen- eral linear models were conducted after adjusting for matching var- iables (age, gender, day of week and time of ED visit, region of ED, level of ED, and initial triage). All statistical tests were conducted in SAS version 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA). Based on a two-sided test, a p-value of <0.05 was considered an indication of statistical significance.
-
- Ethics statement
The study protocol was reviewed and approved by the Institutional Review Board of National Medical Center (approval No. NMC-2007- 026), and the requirement for informed consent was waived due to the retrospective nature of this study.
-
- Patient and public involvement statement
The National Emergency Medical Center under the Ministry of Health and Welfare was involved in the design and conduct of this re- search, but it was not possible to involve patients in our research.
- Results
- Demographic findings
Of the 94,620 patients who visited one of the 46 EDs in Daegu and Gyeongbuk during the study period (from January 21 to April 14, 2020), patients with insufficient information on EDs and hospital dispo- sition (n = 243) or ED LOS (n = 27) were excluded from the analysis. Of the 94,360 eligible participants, 16,150 (17.1%) patients were catego- rized into the EMS-use group. In this group, 3372 patients were in the temporary-closure group, and 6744 patients were matched into the
Table 1
Characteristics and study outcomes of the study population according to EMS use and the temporary closure of emergency departments.
Non EMS use group |
p |
EMS use group |
p |
|||||||||
Temporary closure |
No closure |
Temporary closure |
No closure |
|||||||||
N |
% |
N |
% |
N |
% |
N |
% |
|||||
Total |
12,109 |
100.0 |
24,218 |
100.0 |
3372 |
100.0 |
6744 |
100.0 |
||||
Age (in years) |
0.99 |
0.93 |
||||||||||
0-19 |
1312 |
10.8 |
2624 |
10.8 |
127 |
3.8 |
254 |
3.8 |
||||
20-49 |
5168 |
42.7 |
10,316 |
42.6 |
779 |
23.1 |
1526 |
22.6 |
||||
50-69 |
3588 |
29.6 |
7217 |
29.8 |
1169 |
34.7 |
2376 |
35.2 |
||||
70-120 |
2041 |
16.9 |
4061 |
16.8 |
1297 |
38.5 |
2588 |
38.4 |
||||
Gender, female |
5658 |
46.7 |
11,316 |
46.7 |
1.00 |
1361 |
40.4 |
2722 |
40.4 |
1.00 |
||
ED visit (day of the week) |
1.00 |
1.00 |
||||||||||
Sunday |
2943 |
24.3 |
5886 |
24.3 |
557 |
16.5 |
1114 |
16.5 |
||||
Monday |
1745 |
14.4 |
3490 |
14.4 |
538 |
16.0 |
1076 |
16.0 |
||||
Tuesday |
1119 |
9.2 |
2238 |
9.2 |
437 |
13.0 |
874 |
13.0 |
||||
Wednesday |
1875 |
15.5 |
3750 |
15.5 |
593 |
17.6 |
1186 |
17.6 |
||||
Thursday |
1578 |
13.0 |
3156 |
13.0 |
540 |
16.0 |
1080 |
16.0 |
||||
Friday |
1436 |
11.9 |
2872 |
11.9 |
432 |
12.8 |
864 |
12.8 |
||||
Saturday |
1413 |
11.7 |
2826 |
11.7 |
275 |
8.2 |
550 |
8.2 |
||||
ED visit (hour of the day) |
0.44 |
0.34 |
||||||||||
00-08 |
2307 |
19.1 |
4480 |
18.5 |
856 |
25.4 |
1622 |
24.1 |
||||
08-16 |
4715 |
38.9 |
9489 |
39.2 |
1396 |
41.4 |
2836 |
42.1 |
||||
16-24 |
5087 |
42.0 |
10,249 |
42.3 |
1120 |
33.2 |
2286 |
33.9 |
||||
Region of ED |
0.93 |
0.78 |
||||||||||
Daegu metropolitan |
3754 |
31.0 |
7519 |
31.0 |
1297 |
38.5 |
2613 |
38.7 |
||||
Gyeungsangbuk-do |
8355 |
69.0 |
16,699 |
69.0 |
2075 |
61.5 |
4131 |
61.3 |
||||
Level of ED (level 1 & 2) |
6656 |
55.0 |
13,312 |
55.0 |
1.00 |
2527 |
74.9 |
5054 |
74.9 |
1.00 |
||
Initial triage (severe)a |
352 |
5.3 |
704 |
5.3 |
1.00 |
443 |
17.5 |
886 |
17.5 |
1.00 |
||
Reason for ED visit (injury)a |
1447 |
21.7 |
3209 |
24.1 |
<0.01 |
744 |
29.4 |
1635 |
32.4 |
0.01 |
||
Initial fever (>=37.5 ?C)a |
1043 |
15.7 |
2312 |
17.4 |
<0.01 |
388 |
15.4 |
728 |
14.4 |
0.27 |
||
Mental status at time of ED admission a |
0.03 |
0.76 |
||||||||||
Alert |
6490 |
97.5 |
13,063 |
98.1 |
2206 |
87.3 |
4425 |
87.6 |
||||
Verbal response |
66 |
1.0 |
95 |
0.7 |
107 |
4.2 |
231 |
4.6 |
||||
Pain response |
52 |
0.8 |
76 |
0.6 |
102 |
4.0 |
190 |
3.8 |
||||
Unresponsive |
48 |
0.7 |
78 |
0.6 |
112 |
4.4 |
208 |
4.1 |
||||
Route of ED visit (transferred) |
1016 |
8.4 |
2076 |
8.6 |
0.56 |
49 |
1.5 |
73 |
1.1 |
0.11 |
||
Diagnosis |
||||||||||||
AMI |
70 |
0.6 |
151 |
0.6 |
0.60 |
60 |
1.8 |
98 |
1.5 |
0.21 |
||
Stroke |
167 |
1.4 |
394 |
1.6 |
0.07 |
146 |
4.3 |
317 |
4.7 |
0.40 |
||
Sepsis |
36 |
0.3 |
37 |
0.2 |
<0.01 |
41 |
1.2 |
67 |
1.0 |
0.30 |
||
Severe trauma |
604 |
5.0 |
1110 |
4.6 |
0.09 |
438 |
13.0 |
957 |
14.2 |
0.10 |
||
ED length of stay (in hours) |
||||||||||||
Mean, SD |
2.7 |
+-6.9 |
2.6 |
+-5.7 |
0.08 |
6.3 |
+-11.3 |
5.2 |
+-8.8 |
<0.01 |
||
Median, [IQR] |
1.03 |
[0.37-2.28] |
1.2 |
[0.43-2.33] |
2.33 |
[1.25-5.1] |
2.37 |
[1.28-4.77] | ||||
ICU admission |
359 |
3.0 |
619 |
2.6 |
0.02 |
329 |
9.8 |
572 |
8.5 |
0.03 |
||
Time from ED visit to ICU admission |
||||||||||||
Median, [IQR] (in hours) |
3.32 |
[1.78-7.47] |
3.32 |
[1.78-6.33] |
0.21 |
3.63 |
[1.87-9.02] |
3.38 |
[1.87-6.99] |
<0.01 |
||
In-hospital mortality |
238 |
2.0 |
399 |
1.6 |
0.03 |
292 |
8.7 |
498 |
7.4 |
0.02 |
||
ED |
89 |
0.7 |
162 |
0.7 |
144 |
4.3 |
255 |
3.8 |
||||
Ward |
149 |
1.2 |
237 |
1.0 |
148 |
4.4 |
243 |
3.6 |
EMS, emergency medical services; ED, emergency department; AMI, acute myocardial infarction; SARI, severe acute respiratory infection; SD, standard deviation; IQR, interquartile range; ICU, intensive care unit.
a These variables were only provided by level 1 & 2 EDs.
no-closure group using 1:2 bidirectional crossover matching. For the non-EMS group, 12,109 patients were in the temporary-closure group and 24,218 patients were matched with the no-closure group (Fig. 2).
Table 1 describes the demographic characteristics according to EMS- use and main exposure of interest. In-hospital mortality was found to be
Table 3 Conditional logistic regression analysis to estimate the effect of temporary closures of EDs on study outcomes according to EMS use.
In-hospital mortality ICU admission
n/N % OR (95% CIs) n/N % OR (95% CIs)
2.0% in the temporary-closure group and 1.6% in the no-closure group among the non-EMS-use group (p-value, 0.03) and 8.7% in the |
Non EMS use Temporary |
238/12,109 |
2.0 |
1.22 |
359/12,109 |
3.0 |
1.19 |
temporary-closure group and 7.4% in the no-closure group among the |
closure |
(1.03-1.44) |
(1.04-1.38) |
||||
EMS-use group (p-value, 0.02). For the EMS-use group, the response |
No closure |
399/24,218 |
1.6 |
1.00 |
619/24,218 |
2.6 |
1.00 |
time and prehospital time of the temporary-close group were longer than those of the no-closure group (mean: 13.1 min and 39.6 min vs. |
EMS use Temporary closure |
292/3372 |
8.7 |
1.23 (1.04-1.46) |
329/3372 |
9.8 |
1.18 (1.02-1.27) |
10.7 min and 33.9 min; both p-values <0.01) (Table 2). |
No closure |
498/6744 |
7.4 |
1.00 |
572/6744 |
8.5 |
1.00 |
-
- Clinical outcomes and main analyses
In the conditional logistic analysis of the non-EMS-use group, the ORs (95% CIs) of the temporary-closure group compared to the no- closure group were 1.22 (1.03-1.44) for in-hospital mortality and 1.19 (1.04-1.38) for ICU admission. Among the EMS-use group, the ORs (95% CIs) were 1.23 (1.04-1.46) for in-hospital mortality and 1.18 (1.02-1.27) for ICU admission (Table 3).
The adjusted coefficients (95% CIs) for ED LOS of the temporary- closure group were 0.13 (0.01 to 0.25) hours for the non-EMS-use group and 1.13 (0.76 to 1.50) hours for the EMS-use group, compared to the no-closure group. For prehospital time in the EMS-use group, the adjusted coefficients (95% CIs) of the temporary-closure group was 5.68 (4.82 to 6.55) minutes compared to the no-closure group (Table 4).
To estimate the effect of ED closures on the clinical outcomes of pa- tients who diagnosed with non-infectious critical conditions (acute myocardial infarction, stroke, and severe trauma), sensitivity analyses performed (Supplementary Tables 1 and 2).
- Discussion
Using a nationwide emergency patient database, this study demon- strated the effects of concurrent and recurrent temporary closures of EDs on emergency patients’ clinical outcomes in Daegu metropolitan area. The temporary closures of EDs due to unforeseen exposure to
Response time and prehospital time of the study population with EMS use.
EMS use group p-value
ICU, intensive care unit; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; EMS, emergency medical services.
COVID-19 resulted in a shortage of emergency medical resources in the community. This, in turn, resulted in an increase in rates of in- hospital mortality and ICU admission for emergency patients both with and without EMS use. In addition, the ED closure prolonged ED LOS for all emergency patients, as well as prehospital time for patients who visited the ED with EMS use. Our study identified the detrimental effects of the sudden closures of EDs, which were not prepared for an in- fectious outbreak, on the regional EMS system and public health in the community. These results emphasize the importance of preparing re- gional EMS systems to cope with new communicable disease outbreaks, as well as general disasters.
Since the 2014 Ebola epidemic, preparedness for communicable dis- ease outbreaks in communities and hospitals has been emphasized [21- 23]. In Korea, after the hospital transmissions of Middle East respiratory syndrome in 2015 [24,25], the EMS Act was revised to improve the ED environment, which included installing ventilation systems, sep- arating the entrance from the isolation area, expanding bed space, set- ting up isolation rooms with negative pressure in Level-1 EDs, and controlling access of ED visitors [26]. However, as a result, ED prepared- ness for emerging communicable diseases became insufficient, as attested by the concurrent and recurrent shutdowns of EDs during the COVID-19 outbreak. One important factor is that most symptomatic and asymptomatic patients with communicable diseases access healthcare through the emergency care system. Therefore, preparing EMS systems in such a way that they can sufficiently mitigate a disaster situation has become crucial to protect the safety of all citizens [27].
The temporary closures of EDs the early phase of the COVID-19 outbreak were performed in accordance with the MERS response guide-
Temporary closure
(n = 3372)
No closure (n = 6744)
lines recommending that patients resume care at least 48 h after diagno- sis at the place where the confirmed patient visited [28]. However, the MERS response guidelines were developed in 2015, and there is
N |
% |
N |
% |
|||||||||||||
Response timea (in minutes) |
<0.01 |
|||||||||||||||
0-4 |
108 |
3.2 |
307 |
4.6 |
Table 4 |
|||||||||||
4-8 |
1004 |
29.8 |
2495 |
37.0 |
Multivariable general linear model to estimate the effect of temporary closures of EDs on |
|||||||||||
8-12 |
1032 |
30.6 |
2190 |
32.5 |
the time variables according to EMS use. |
|||||||||||
12-16 |
548 |
16.3 |
936 |
13.9 |
||||||||||||
16- |
680 |
20.2 |
816 |
12.1 |
ED length of stay (in hours) Prehospital time (in minutes) |
|||||||||||
Mean, SD |
13.1 |
+-13.1 |
10.7 |
+-6.4 |
Mean SD ssa (95% CI) |
Mean SD ssa (95% CI) |
||||||||||
median, [IQR] |
11 |
[8-15] |
9 |
[7-13] | ||||||||||||
Prehospital timeb (in minutes) |
<0.01 |
Non EMS use |
||||||||||||||
0-10 |
25 |
0.7 |
87 |
1.3 |
Temporary |
2.7 |
6.9 |
0.13 (0.01 to |
||||||||
10-20 |
534 |
15.8 |
1453 |
21.5 |
closure |
0.25) |
||||||||||
20-30 |
902 |
26.7 |
2016 |
29.9 |
No closure |
2.6 |
5.7 |
Ref |
||||||||
30-40 |
708 |
21.0 |
1403 |
20.8 |
EMS use |
|||||||||||
40-50 |
470 |
13.9 |
808 |
12.0 |
Temporary |
6.3 |
11.3 |
1.13 (0.76 to |
39.6 |
26.0 |
5.68 (4.82 to |
|||||
50- |
733 |
21.7 |
977 |
14.5 |
closure |
1.50) |
6.55) |
|||||||||
Mean, SD |
39.6 |
+-26.0 |
33.9 |
+-18.8 |
No closure |
5.2 |
8.8 |
Ref |
33.9 |
18.8 |
Ref |
median, [IQR] 33 [24-48] 30 [21-41]
EMS, emergency medical services; SD, standard deviation; IQR, interquartile range.
a Time from call to ambulance until arrival at the scene.
b Time from call to ambulance until arrival at the emergency department.
ED, emergency department; SD, standard deviation; CI, Confidence interval; EMS, emer- gency medical services.
a All ? coefficients were calculated with adjustments for age, gender, day of the week, hour of the day of ED visit, region, and triage.
Declaration of interest“>insufficient evidence for routine use of long term ventilation and quaran- tine to prevent in-hospital transmission of COVID-19. According to in- terim infection prevention and control recommendations for healthcare personnel during the COVID-19 pandemic by CDC [29], rou- tine cleaning and disinfection procedures are recommended to control environmental infection. Since EDs provide emergency care not only for infected patients but also for non-infected patients, temporary ED clo- sures should be approached with caution. Considering the results of this study, temporary ED closures are not recommended due the unpredict- able exposure patterns associated with COVID-19 during an outbreak.
Consecutive and concurrent shutdowns of multiple EDs affect the re- gional EMS system, lead to overcrowding of other EDs in the commu- nity, and prolong prehospital time owing to delays in selecting an ED for patients using EMS. Similarly, a study in the United States found that Hospital closures were associated with a significant increase in am- bulances taking patients to the nearest ED, rather than to the ED that provides the most appropriate care [9]. Ambulance diversion was also associated with prolonged prehospital time and delays in providing ad- equate care to critically ill patients. The delayed prehospital time and ED overcrowding may have had an impact on increased in-hospital mortal- ity rates by increasing the time required to provide critical care to emer- gency patients. In this study, patients who visited an ED during the period of at least one ED closure, irrespective of whether they used EMS, had higher in-hospital mortality rates and longer ED LOS com- pared to patients in no-closure groups.
In Daegu and Gyeongbuk, each ED has committed to minimizing ED closures through measures such as physicians, nurses, and healthcare workers wearing appropriate Personal protective equipment ; temporary increases in isolation beds with negative pressure; a cohort isolation space for each ED); and chest radiographies for triage patients, thereby establishing a screening and patient triage protocol [6,8,30]. However, preparedness for a disaster before it occurs will be much more effective in protecting the safety of all citizens, rather than attempting to mitigate the risk after a disaster. The temporary closures of EDs due to unpredicted exposure to COVID-19 resulted in a shortage of emergency medical resources in the community. Our findings have important implications for the preparedness of regional EMS systems to cope with new communicable disease outbreaks, as well as general disasters. Developing strategies to minimize the impact of disasters on national and regional EMS systems and establishing healthcare systems that are prepared for disaster are essential to protect the community during COVID-19 and other communicable disease outbreaks and pandemics.
This study has several limitations that may restrict the generaliz- ability of its findings. First, this was not a randomized, controlled study. Although we attempted to reduce biases by using bidirec- tional crossover matching, the possibility of potential biases could have affected our results. Second, during the COVID-19 pandemic, there were many other changes in national and regional healthcare systems, which could have affected the main exposure and study outcomes. Third, nine Level-3 EDs were also temporarily closed sev- eral times, but its impact on the regional EMS system was assumed to be insignificant and it was excluded from the analysis. Finally, each country has different regional health care systems and EMS. In addition, there may be differences in the availability of critical and medical resources. Therefore, the study findings should be gen- eralized cautiously.
During the COVID-19 outbreak, the concurrent and recurrent tem- porary closures of emergency departments increased in-hospital mor- tality and ICU admission rates in the community and prolonged the length of stay in EDs for emergency patients living in the community. The preparedness of the regional EMS system to cope with an emerging communicable disease outbreak, as well as general disasters, is essential for mitigating the detrimental effects of the COVID-19 outbreak on the safety and public health of the community.
Funding
There was no funding for this study.
Declaration of interest
The authors have no potential conflicts of interest to declare.
Author Contributors
Conceptualization: Drs. Ro, Ryoo, and Moon; Data curation: Drs. Ro, Ryoo, and Moon; Formal analysis: Drs. Lee and Ro; Funding acquisition: None; Investigation: Dr. Moon; Methodology: Drs. Lee and Ro; Project administration: None; Resources: None; Software: Dr. Ro; Supervision: Drs. Ro, Ryoo, and Moon; Validation: Drs. Ro, Ryoo, and Moon; Visuali- zation: Dr. Lee; Writing - original draft preparation: Dr. Lee; Writing - review and editing: Drs. Ro, Ryoo, and Moon.
Appendix A. Supplementary data
Supplementary data to this article can be found online at https://doi. org/10.1016/j.ajem.2021.03.038.
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